Professor | Lorraine Tyson Mitchell Chair in Leadership and Communication
Management of Organizations
Researcher of confidence and overconfidence, with a focus on forecasting, judgment, and decision making
About
Don Moore is the Lorraine Tyson Mitchell Chair in Leadership and Communication at Berkeley Haas. He received his PhD in Organization Behavior from Northwestern University. His research interests include overconfidence—including when people think they are better than they actually are, when people think they are better than others, and when they are too sure they know the truth. He is only occasionally overconfident.
Expertise and Research Interests
- Ethical Choice
- Decision-Making
- Overconfidence
- Negotiation
- Don A. Moore, Amelia S. Dev, and Ekaterina Y. Goncharova. Overconfidence across cultures. Collabra.
2018 - Don A. Moore, Jennifer M. Logg, and Uriel Haran. Is overconfidence a motivated bias? Experimental evidence.. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General.
2018 - Don Moore, Cameron Anderson, Elizabeth Tenney, Nathan Meikle, and David Hunsaker. Is overconfidence a social liability? The effect of verbal versus nonverbal expressions of confidence. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology.
2018 - Mathur, M. B., et al.. Many labs 5: Registered multisite replication of tempting-fate effects in Gilovich and Risen (2008). Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science (2008).
2008 - Don A. Moore, Leif D. Nelson, and Hannah Perfecto. The category size bias: A mere misunderstanding. Judgment and Decision Making.
2018 - Benjamin, D. J. et al.. Redefine statistical significance. Nature Human Behavior.
2017
At Haas since 2010
2016 – present, Professor, Management of Organizations Group, Haas School of Business
2010 – 2016, Associate Professor, Management of Organizations Group, Haas School of Business
Courtesy appointment in the Department of Psychology, University of California, Berkeley
2015 – present, Faculty Director, Xlab
2000 – 2010, Assistant to Associate Professor of Organizational Behavior, Tepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University
- Editorial Board of Journal of Personality and Social Psychology (2015 – present)
- Editorial Board of Psychological Science (2015 – present)
- Editorial Board of Judgment and Decision Making (2012 – present)
- Editorial Board of Administrative Science Quarterly (2009 -2013)
- Editorial Board of Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes (2007 – 2009)
- Editorial Board of Organization Science (2007 – 2010)
Barbara and Gerson Bakar Faculty Fellow
2011– 2014
Best Paper Award
Managerial and Organizational Cognition Division of the Academy of Management
2011
IARPA Research Grant
Awarded for grant for: Exploring the Optimal Forecasting Frontier with B. Mellers and P. Tetlock
2011 – 2015
Cummings Scholar Award
Awarded from the Academy of Management, recognizing “significant scholarly achievement during the early- to mid-career stage”
2007
Best Paper Award, Managerial and Organizational Cognition Division of the Academy of Management
2007
Weil Prize (CMU)
Awarded for the paper “Bayesian overconfidence” with Paul J. Healy
2007
National Science Foundation
Research grant for: Correspondence Bias in Performance Appraisal: Why Selecting an Easy Task is a Recipe for Success with Francesca Gino, Zachariah Sharek, and Samuel Swift
2007 – 2009
- Op-Ed: Trump’s overconfidence has always been dangerous. With coronavirus, it’s deadly, Los Angeles Times, 03/26/2020
- The Endless, Invisible Persuasion Tactics of the Internet, The Atlantic, 08/02/2019
- How to spot a narcissist, BBC World Service Business Daily, 07/30/2018
- No one needs paper piles; SEC should get smart about broker disclosure, Wall Street Journal, 07/27/2018
- Elon Musk’s “pedo guy” cave tweet could hurt Tesla, San Francisco Chronicle, 07/16/2018
- Three Ways Overconfidence Can Sink Your Ship, Forbes, 08/15/2017
- The negative side of positive thinking, The Harvard Gazette, 08/04/2017
- Trump’s a terrible deal-maker — just look at the past 100 days, Business Insider, 04/30/2017
- The Era of Overconfident CEOs Is Waning, The Wall Street Journal, 03/07/2017
- Leading People, MBA 205
- Executive Decision Making, Executive Decision Making
